![]() If the Minnesota run defense is not improved compared to 2021, this could be a heavy dose to the Green Bay backs paired with Rodgers’s strong keep-away nature in not turning the ball over. This Packers offense could be much more conservative with all of the moving parts in the receiving corps, and this Green Bay offense was already last in the NFL in time of possession per play in 2021 (31.4 seconds). We are just two years removed from Rodgers checking in as the QB14 in points per game and the field questioning a potential decline. It is one thing to recalibrate for a week or two in a season and carry production, but another now to do so for a full season with a receiving unit that does not inspire a ton of confidence. While an elite ceiling has been harder for Rodgers to access without Adams, we also do not want to overweight the limited sample here with Adams off the field. While the floor has been strong, Rodgers has found it harder to access his week-winning ceiling in those games, posting just three weeks higher than the QB7 with three top-three scoring weeks in that 10-game sample. ![]() In those 10 games, Rodgers has posted six QB1 scoring weeks with just one week lower than QB15, averaging 21.9 fantasy points per game. Rodgers has played 10 full games (excluding season finales) without Adams available over the past six years. Rodgers closed the 2021 season on fire, with six straight top-10 scoring weeks. 87.8% of the rushing attempts against Minnesota gained positive yardage, the highest rate in the league.Īaron Rodgers: Rodgers has won back-to-back MVP awards while finishing as the QB4 and QB7 in fantasy points per game the past two seasons.Minnesota was last in the league in expected points added via their rush defense in 2021 (-44.6).Minnesota ranked 31st in the league in the percentage of drives allowed that failed to gain a first down or touchdown (25.8%). ![]() The Packers have won seven straight games without Davante Adams in the starting lineup, averaging 31.6 points per game in those games.The Vikings (6.8%) and Packers (6.9%) had the two lowest rates of turnovers per possession in 2021.The Vikings (77.3%) and Packers (73.6%) were second and third in the NFL in rate of touchdowns that came via passing in 2021.64.7% (11-of-17) of the Minnesota games went over the game total in 2021, the highest rate in the league.
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